Multi-party charter is not going to make it: Now DA must talk to ANC

Henry

With just over half of the votes at the respective polling stations counted and processed, it is clear that the Multi-Party Charter will not succeed in uniting a majority on them at national level.

As things stand at the moment, the DA has united about 23% on them, the IVP about 2.4% and the FF Plus has dropped back to 1.65%. The ACDP currently stands at 0.62% and despite great expectations, ActionSA could only manage to unite 1.1% of the support for them.

There are still many polling stations’ votes to be processed, but analysts agree that these preliminary results paint a picture of how the respective parties performed. And if you do the sum, the Multi-Party Charter only united about 29% of the support for them and there is no scenario where they will succeed in forming a majority coalition at the national level.

In the Western Cape, the DA clung to their majority despite Gayton McKenzie’s Patriotic Alliance (PA) which, according to the preliminary results, managed to unite just over 9% of the support for them.

In Gauteng, the ANC got just under 35% of the support, while the DA got around 28% of the votes. The EFF and MK united on them 12% and 10% respectively. It is important to single out Gauteng as it is the economic heartland of South Africa.

In Gauteng, as at national level, the ANC will not be able to form a government without the help of other parties. One possibility is to look to parties like the EFF and MK for a coalition and the other is to work with the DA.

Every coalition comes with a price.

First, the price can be policy. For example, the DA could, in return for giving the ANC the presidency in parliament or the premiership in Gauteng, demand that a free market-friendly policy be followed or that racial requirements be abolished in the economic sector.

Furthermore, a coalition partner can also claim positions. For example, the DA can require that they hold the chairmanship of the public accounts committee at national and provincial level and thus be able to keep an eye on the way in which public funds are used. The DA will also be able to insist on ministerial or MEC positions and thus make their mark in specific government departments.

The alternative is a coalition with the EFF which can bring about sweeping ideological changes. The EFF is even more draconian in their view of expropriation without compensation than the ANC and given the type of songs they defend up to the highest court of appeal we can be sure that they have no intention of equal opportunities for all residents in the country not to ensure.

It is less clear exactly what MK stands for. We have heard statements that they regard the Constitution as the enemy and want to do away with the Roman-Dutch legal system and replace it with a form of African indigenous law. However, what exactly this entails and how it will work has not yet been well explained. The inference can therefore be made that the existence of MK is actually just a way to get to President Cyril Ramaphosa and move a little closer to the trough again.

In the run-up to the election, the DA said several times that a doomsday coalition must be avoided at all costs. The first prize would surely have been that it had to happen with the cooperation of the Multiparty Charter. However, the Multiparty Charter failed to unite the necessary support for them.

Now it is time for the DA to enter into discussions with the ANC about how that doomsday coalition can be prevented.

*The opinion piece is based on the available results by 08:00 Friday morning.