Will the dominoes fall or will the old order stand?

Henry

The existing European politics has been changing drastically for a long time. Although the trends in the respective countries are currently rather to the right and the countries have an influence on each other, no clear direction is yet discernible.

The old battle between centre-right and centre-left governments, which both confirm the existing order, is long over and what we are currently seeing is rather a battle between globalists and nationalists/populists in a global context.

The irony is that the globalists market themselves as the custodians of democracy and the established order (those who actually want to preserve the old order of state sovereignty and a national character, i.e. want to get it back) as the radicals. This while the globalists advocate the most drastic changes and have already implemented many of them, such as the transfer of state sovereignty to multinational organizations and the enforcement of the weeks-agenda.

To determine how the battle is going, it makes sense to look at some countries in Europe.

France

The liberal government of President Emanuel Macron is par excellence a representative of the globalist power order. Yet Macron is also a seasoned politician who knows how to make certain noises at the right time and play the role of the defender of France’s stability.

He recently replaced the more left-leaning prime minister Elizabeth Bourne with the young Gabriel Attal, who is marketed as forceful and by implication someone who takes tough action against immigrant violence. In the meantime, the right-wing opposition is growing, but due to the majority voting system and the established tendency for everyone to unite against the right-wing, a drastic change of direction is currently unlikely.

Germany

Together with France, Germany is the most important country of the European Union (EU) and its government is decidedly left-wing and globalist. According to polls, the government is indeed very unpopular and within the coalition, consisting of Social Democrats, Greens and Liberals, there are constant infighting. A united front against the right Alternatives for Germany (AFD), which includes all other parties (the so-called firewall against the right), makes a change of course seem unlikely.

Even if the current coalition loses its majority, any new government will be explicitly anti-right and must always include the Greens, the Social Democrats or both to have a majority. So at most small changes are to be expected.

The Netherlands

In the Netherlands, a centre-right coalition government has been under negotiation for some time. Here was the support for the populist Party for Freedom (PVV) with the last election so strong that no meaningful government can be formed without them.

However, the negotiations for a coalition recently experienced a setback with one party walking out. Even if the PVV were to govern, they would be defeated by mainstream parties with a globalist agenda, as well as by the EU. Nevertheless, this would be an important breakthrough for a populist party.

Italy

Italy has already achieved what is currently only a possibility in the Netherlands – namely a right-wing government, in this case led by Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni of the Fratelli d’Italia. However, due to Italy’s financial dependence on the EU, Meloni cannot deviate too far from the globalist agenda and is currently trying to play the role of mediator between both sides. Behind the scenes, however, she works to strengthen the forces that stand for state sovereignty.

Poland

Together with Hungary, Poland was one of the most outspoken countries in favor of national sovereignty and against a subverted EU. However, with the recent change of government from the nationalist-conservative Party for Law and Justice to the liberal Civic Block with Prime Minister Donald Tusk (who was EU Council President in the past and is also rather a globalist), the scale here has swung again.

Spain

In Spain, a strong left-wing government rules, which is, however, very unstable due to the large number of fickle regional parties as part of the coalition. Although the country recently had an election, it is possible that the current government will break up and a new election will have to be held, which will probably lead to a swing to the right.

However, the elections for the European Parliament in June this year have the potential to change the globalist agenda of the EU at least slightly, provided the right and mainstream conservatives work together. For the former, big profits are predicted. Currently, everyone is still working together against the right.